A tagfish opens up front and the spot calls the SB. I just call in the big blind with KQo, mainly because I feel the tagfish's EP range is tight enough that I am not missing much, if any, value by not three betting. Also my hand should be easier to play without initiative, since my read on her is that she'll bet every single flop vs the two of us. So we see a board:
And I begin to play horribly. The SB checks, I check, she bets, the sb calls and I...just call. This is probably fine, but notice how small I've let the pot get. I have KQo, one of my opponents has literally an almost random (or perhaps even weaker) hand, and I have flopped a pretty reasonable board. Yet we are taking a turn 3 ways and there are only 4.5 bets in the pot.
Total brick, changes absolutely nothing. The spot checks and I...check. Don't get me wrong, that's almost certainly correct, except that my read on her range and betting tendencies here is the following....The only hand I beat is KJo, and she will check back QQ or weaker. Now I don't know if this read was correct, but it's the one I had, and therefore I probably needed to fire the old turn donk at her. Assuming she is pair heavy preflop (and I think she has everything down to like 55, so that's 42 combos of pocket pairs that I beat, that she'd have fired once, that I think will check back now) letting this turn check through (when I have the sb destroyed) is horrendous. But donking never even occurred to me. For some reason I was in "gee how will I lose this hand" mode and when she bet and the spot called I...folded. I literally folded my hand. It's preposterous, isn't it? I mean sure if my read is correct it's somewhat close. If I only ever beat the KJ AND the spot pretty much always has a naked Q or J (which hurts my equity really badly when she has something like A9s) then the fold is almost defensible. Almost. It's still bad, but not crazy bad. But that's the thing, your read is never perfect in a spot like this. I don't have tons of hours with her, and she's a high stakes tagfish who does unpredictable things. What if she does fire the QQ and JJ here? Or the 44. What if she has the K9s on the preflop? What about 87hh? These are the things I forgot about (or more accurately dismissed as impossible instead of simply discounting) and therefore when the river came the old Jack ball and it checked through and her K9cc dragged the pot I was just sick to my stomach. I had let the pot get pretty small, and once that happened I started looking for ways OUT of the hand instead of how I could win it. LHE is all about being optimistic (NLHE is about being pessimistic, I think, at least once the money is in), and I simply failed this hand plain and simply.
There have been others. I laid down AA on the turn for two bets and was wrong. I made some horrible peels and call downs when I simply didn't have the equity to continue. I just haven't been...sharp, I suppose.